Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.481141 0.528635 0.579609 0.638523 0.704908 0.777589 0.863450
2025-11-23 0.400130 0.465273 0.540223 0.633412 0.746975 0.881894 1.055847
2025-11-30 0.356809 0.430846 0.520106 0.636808 0.787083 0.976452 1.236964
2025-12-07 0.320425 0.398285 0.495614 0.627997 0.806155 1.041703 1.383721
2025-12-14 0.292048 0.371879 0.474746 0.619442 0.821710 1.100611 1.525530
2025-12-21 0.264181 0.343117 0.447410 0.598279 0.816049 1.127303 1.621750
2025-12-28 0.251550 0.333313 0.444124 0.609096 0.855280 1.220678 1.827598
2026-01-04 0.239729 0.323425 0.439495 0.616897 0.889893 1.309642 2.036987
2026-01-11 0.228229 0.312956 0.432933 0.620765 0.918136 1.390692 2.243071
2026-01-18 0.217554 0.302802 0.425859 0.622862 0.943165 1.468323 2.452825
2026-01-25 0.208921 0.294967 0.421489 0.628461 0.973837 1.557835 2.695684
2026-02-01 0.196832 0.281161 0.407055 0.616709 0.974222 1.594630 2.843783
2026-02-08 0.189642 0.274507 0.403408 0.622517 1.005629 1.690903 3.125280
2026-02-15 0.180625 0.264510 0.393869 0.617779 1.018129 1.754028 3.349871
2026-02-22 0.174113 0.258001 0.389383 0.621069 1.045002 1.846748 3.651687
2026-03-01 0.165724 0.248017 0.378595 0.612523 1.049086 1.895207 3.863221
2026-03-08 0.158042 0.238752 0.368413 0.604223 1.052716 1.942837 4.080395
2026-03-15 0.148638 0.226212 0.352062 0.583690 1.030944 1.935705 4.165506
2026-03-22 0.145521 0.223857 0.352760 0.594186 1.070835 2.062700 4.603992
2026-03-29 0.142075 0.220753 0.351953 0.601754 1.105439 2.182295 5.047237
2026-04-05 0.138199 0.216716 0.349264 0.605507 1.132448 2.288091 5.475096
2026-04-12 0.134281 0.212407 0.345835 0.607541 1.155942 2.388561 5.909167
2026-04-19 0.131110 0.209228 0.344227 0.612972 1.187152 2.511075 6.434535